Arab News
Arab news,
Sat, Sep 06, 2025 | Rabi al-Awwal 14, 1447
Tadawul defies global IPO slump as Saudi listings thrive
Saudi Arabia:
The Saudi Exchange is proving resilient amid a
global initial public offerings downturn, highlighting the strength and dynamism
of its diverse issuer base.
While traditional financial centers struggle, the
Kingdom continues to attract listings, underscoring a potential shift in how and
where global capital is deployed.
Across the US, Europe, and much of Asia, 2025 has
seen subdued IPO activity, affected by volatile macroeconomic indicators,
persistent inflation, and shifting investor sentiment. Could Saudi Arabia’s
divergence signal a broader reshaping of investor priorities and market
leadership?
Equity markets showed early signs of recovery in
the first quarter, but geopolitical tensions and tariff shocks in April
disrupted momentum, prompting issuers to delay offerings and adopt a cautious
stance, according to Haitham Aljabry, capital markets consulting partner at PwC
Middle East.
In contrast, the Saudi Exchange is charting its
own path. As of August 2025, 33 new listings have been completed across its main
market, Nomu – parallel market, and sukuk and bonds market, bringing the total
number of listed securities to more than 460.
“The Saudi Exchange’s resilience amid the global
IPO slowdown underscores the strength and dynamism of our diverse issuer base,”
Nasser Alajaji, chief of listing at the Saudi Exchange, told Arab News.
Alajaji added: “Recent listings from new
sectors such as aviation and e-commerce have further deepened market breadth and
enhanced its appeal.”
He highlighted the launch of the Kingdom’s first
ESG-focused exchange-traded fund and two corporate sukuk as signs of ongoing
innovation aligned with the Financial Sector Development Program under Vision
2030.
“Global IPO activity paused, as some companies
chose to delay their IPO processes due to the level of uncertainty associated
with the various tariff announcements,” Aljabry explained. “However, the gradual
reopening of selective IPO markets is now underway, with sentiment largely tied
to macroeconomic and geopolitical stability.”
Aljabry said Saudi Arabia’s sustained IPO
performance reflects strong macroeconomic management, regulatory clarity, and
ongoing reforms across sectors. The government’s commitment to economic
diversification through megaprojects such as Neom and the Red Sea is bolstering
investor confidence and stimulating activity across industries. Capital inflows
have also remained consistent in 2025, supported by a stable riyal-dollar peg
and Saudi Arabia’s status as a regional safe haven amid wider geopolitical
instability.
Structural advantages boosting Tadawul’s appeal
Tadawul offers structural advantages that distinguish it from global peers.
“Tadawul is the largest stock exchange in the MENA
region by market capitalization. Its high free-float requirement ensures
liquidity, and Tadawul’s inclusion and weighting in MSCI EM and FTSE indices
boosts demand from passive global funds,” Ibrahim Soumrany, partner at Gibson
Dunn in Riyadh, noted.
Soumrany also cited strong valuation
premiums, robust institutional demand, and consistent oversubscription levels in
retail tranches, with new listings often leaving individual investors with as
few as ten shares. Additional drivers include state asset privatizations, Public
Investment Fund divestments, and IPOs by large family conglomerates seeking
succession planning and liquidity.
“The level of capital inflow into the Saudi market
since the beginning of the year suggests that investors, both local and
international, continue to view the Kingdom as a stable and growth-oriented
investment destination, even as global capital markets remain cautious,” Aljabry
said.
Regulatory momentum
Saudi capital markets benefit from a deepening institutional investor base and
growing digital engagement, particularly among younger retail investors
accessing equities via trading apps.
“The Saudi capital market continues to play a
pivotal role in driving economic diversification and attracting global capital,”
Alajaji said. “We continue to observe steady IPO activity across all our
platforms… Investor demand remains robust, supported by a favorable regulatory
environment and active participation from both institutional and retail
investors.”
According to Aljabry, IPOs in Saudi Arabia during
2025 have predominantly involved well-established or strategically significant
companies aligned with Vision 2030, appealing to long-term investors. Despite
fluctuations in crude oil prices, the Kingdom has attracted significant capital
inflows, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth strategy and stable
economic management.
In terms of liquidity and market-making, Saudi
capital markets stand out. Soumrany emphasized that market-making regulations
support tighter bid-ask spreads and consistent trading activity, enhancing the
investor experience and reducing market volatility.
Further contributing to market dynamism is the
growing role of Qualified Foreign Investors. As of August, over 4,400 QFIs were
registered with the Saudi Exchange, highlighting rising international
institutional interest, Alajaji told Arab News.
The evolution of environmental, social and
governance and sustainability-linked products is also adding new dimensions to
the market. Alajaji noted that the introduction of new asset classes and
sustainability-driven instruments reflects the exchange’s commitment to
long-term innovation.
Retail investor enthusiasm remains a key pillar.
Soumrany noted: “High oversubscription levels in retail tranches. Retail
investors are unlikely to receive more than 10 shares due to high
oversubscription levels.”
Some IPOs have been so oversubscribed that retail
investors received only a fraction of their applications, demonstrating
grassroots engagement in Saudi capital markets.
Outlook
Looking ahead, Aljabry believes the momentum of Saudi IPOs is unlikely to slow.
With a predictable pipeline shaped by PIF exits, state divestments, and family
business listings, the exchange is well-positioned to maintain its upward
trajectory.
The alignment between economic diversification
objectives and capital market development ensures that listings will continue to
be both strategic and impactful. Soumrany said this alignment results in IPOs
that are not only financially attractive but integral to the broader national
transformation.
Tadawul’s strength amid global weakness
underscores its evolution into a leading regional financial hub. As global
investors seek resilient, growth-oriented markets, Saudi Arabia is increasingly
viewed as a compelling alternative to traditional financial centers. With robust
infrastructure, regulatory foresight, and strategic positioning, the Kingdom is
not just weathering the global IPO slump — it is defining a new benchmark for
emerging-market exchanges.