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Arab
News, Tue, Mar 24, 2026 | Shawwal 5, 1447
UAE central bank support package lifts lenders shaken by Iran war
Saudi Arabia:
Shares of UAE-listed banks jumped on Wednesday
after the Central Bank of the UAE announced measures to support their liquidity
as the Iran crisis hits Gulf economies.
The package detailed by the CBUAE in a statement
dated March 17 includes enhanced access to reserve balances of up to 30 percent
of the cash reserve requirement and term liquidity facilities in both UAE
dirhams and US dollars.
Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank chief economist Monica
Malik said the measures echoed the central bank’s response to the COVID-19
pandemic.
“Again, we see this package aimed at ensuring that
banks have sufficient liquidity and that credit continues to flow to the real
economy. We see the package as supporting macro stability and broader economic
confidence,” she said.
Dubai’s Emirates NBD and Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank
jumped over 9 percent on Wednesday morning before paring gains, while ADCB rose
as much as 6.6 percent.
First Abu Dhabi Bank, the UAE’s biggest bank by
assets, closed down 3.6 percent. FAB is perceived as a defensive pick compared
to its peers, said Naresh Bilandani, Jefferies head of CEEMEA equity
research, noting the stock remains Jefferies’ preferred UAE exposure.
Stocks of banks based in the UAE have suffered
double-digit losses since the US-Israeli war on Iran began on Feb. 28.
The conflict, which shows no signs of
de-escalation, has thrown global energy markets and transport networks into
chaos and has quickly become regional, with multiple attacks by Iran on Dubai
and other countries across the Gulf.
Some lenders have temporarily closed branches in
the country.
The UAE’s financial system “has demonstrated
resilience during the current extraordinary circumstances affecting the global
and regional markets without any material impact on the banking sector’s health
and payment systems,” the CBUAE said in its statement.
“We think this news should be positive for
sentiment near term as it provides temporary liquidity and capital relief for
the banks in what is a difficult period,” Goldman Sachs analysts said in a
note.
‘No material stress’ yet
Other measures in the package approved on Tuesday
include stopgap relief in liquidity and stable funding ratios and the temporary
release of the countercyclical capital buffer and capital conservation buffer —
regulatory requirements that prescribe banks to hold extra capital in periods
of high credit growth, which can be deployed during downturns.
Goldman Sachs said the temporary lifting of CCyB
and CCB could boost capital buffers by up to 3 percentage points, giving lenders
flexibility to keep writing loans and potentially absorb potential losses should
asset quality deteriorate.
Banks across the Gulf have benefited in recent
years from rising demand for credit as governments invest to diversify their
economies away from oil.
While the measures introduced on Tuesday are
larger than the similar COVID-era package, “asset quality pressures could still
emerge should the conflict persist and its economic effects deepen,” Goldman
Sachs said.
Gulf banks could face domestic deposit outflows
of $307 billion if the Middle East conflict deepens, S&P Global Ratings said in
a report on Monday. The ratings agency said, however, that it had seen no
evidence of major outflows of foreign or local funding from banks.
The CBUAE said in Tuesday’s statement that the
overall stock of liquidity held by UAE banks at the regulator, combined with
their net eligible assets for central bank operations, had reached close to $250
billion, of which banks’ reserve balances exceed $109 billion.
According to the most recent daily liquidity
metrics, no material stress has emerged and the measures “are still preventive
in nature and rather meant to offer reassurance to the edgy market sentiment,”
Jefferies wrote in a note, adding that the measures create liquidity access of
up to $58.3 billion for UAE banks.
The CBUAE and other Gulf central banks could make
further announcements after the US Federal Reserve gives its latest
interest-rate decision later on Wednesday. The Fed meets as the war drives oil
prices — a major engine of inflation — above $100 a barrel for the first time
in years.
Gulf Cooperation Council countries generally
follow the Fed’s lead on interest rates as most regional currencies are pegged
to the US dollar. Only the Kuwaiti dinar is pegged to a basket of currencies,
which includes the US dollar.