Arab News
Arab News, Mon, Mar 17, 2025 | Ramadan 17, 1446
Arab region’s GDP climbs 1.8% to $3.6tn in 2024 despite challenges
Saudi Arabia:
The Arab region’s gross domestic product
increased by 1.8 percent, reaching $3.6 trillion in 2024, despite facing
regional challenges, according to new data.
The report, released by the Arab Investment and
Export Credit Guarantee Corporation or Dhaman, showed that growth was primarily
concentrated in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Egypt, Iraq, and Algeria, which together
accounted for over 72 percent of the region’s total GDP, as reported by the
Kuwait News Agency.
This aligns with Moody’s January forecast that oil
production and major investment projects will drive a 0.8 percentage point
increase in annual economic growth across the Middle East and North Africa in
2025.
It also corresponds with Moody’s projection of 2.9
percent growth for the region in 2025, up from 2.1 percent in 2024, while
maintaining a stable outlook on the region’s sovereign credit fundamentals for
the next 12 months.
The data also indicated positive outlooks for the
Arab economy’s performance in 2025, with an expected growth rate of 1.4 percent.
This growth is likely to be driven by expansion in
14 Arab countries, including nine oil-producing economies that together
contribute more than 78 percent of Arab GDP.
There is cautious optimism surrounding the
potential reduction in regional unrest and conflicts, along with an expected
improvement in revenues from oil, gas, and exports of goods and services
produced by the region.
In January, Moody’s emphasized that the impact of
large investments in 2025 will be most evident in Saudi Arabia, driven by
significant government and sovereign wealth fund spending related to the Vision
2030 diversification program.
Moody’s also noted that the pick-up in the MENA
economy will be primarily fueled by stronger growth among hydrocarbon exporters,
as a result of the partial unwinding of strategic oil production cuts under the
OPEC+ agreement.
According to Moody’s, real GDP growth for
hydrocarbon-exporting nations is expected to rise to 3.5 percent in 2025, up
from 1.9 percent in 2024. This boost will be driven by countries like Saudi
Arabia, the UAE, Iraq, Kuwait, and Oman easing the oil production cuts
implemented in 2023.