Arab News
Arab news, Sat, May 10, 2025 | Dhu al-Qadah 12, 1446
Saudi Arabia fast-tracks shift to cashless economy on back of fintech boom
Saudi Arabia:
Gulf Cooperation Council central banks have
kept interest rates steady for the third consecutive period, mirroring the US
Federal Reserve’s decision to hold its benchmark rate between 4.25 percent and
4.5 percent.
As most currencies in the region are pegged to the
US dollar, monetary policy follows the decisions taken in Washington, with
policymakers opting to lock the rate at the level it has been since December.
The freeze comes amid global uncertainty caused by
the ongoing trade war, a slowing of economic growth in the US, and unstable
inflation trends, according to a statement by the Federal Reserve.
The country’s gross domestic product fell 0.3
percent in the first quarter as a result of slower consumer and government
spending and a surge in imports ahead of the tariffs.
The newly released Fed statement said: “In support
of its goals, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal
funds rate at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent. In considering the extent and timing of
additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the
Committee will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the
balance of risks.”
This decision implies that the Saudi Central Bank,
also known as SAMA, will maintain its repo rates at the current level of 5
percent.
The UAE central bank also announced that it has
decided to maintain the base rate applicable to the Overnight Deposit Facility
at 4.40 percent.
Qatar, Kuwait, and Oman, as well as Bahrain, also
mirrored the Fed’s move.
Repo rates, which represent a form of
short-term borrowing primarily involving government securities, underscore the
close economic ties and financial dynamics between the GCC countries and the
global economic landscape, particularly the US.
“In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary
policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming
information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust
the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede
the attainment of the Committee’s goals,” the Federal Reserve’s statement said.
It added: “The Committee’s assessments will take
into account a wide range of information, including readings on labor market
conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and
international developments.”
In April, Fitch Ratings said in a report that Gulf
banks face minimal direct impact from new US tariffs but remain exposed to
broader risks stemming from weaker oil prices and slowing global growth.
The agency noted at the time that most GCC exports
to the US are hydrocarbons, which are exempt from the latest tariffs. Non-oil
exports, such as aluminum and steel, which are subject to 10 percent or 25
percent duties, account for only a small share of the trade basket, limiting
direct exposure for regional economies and their banking sectors.